Signal strategies: 12 of 14 dual-verified · backtested/modelled · independent forward verification underway

αBTC Alpha
CATALOGUE / triton · dataset 2026-08-24T11:32:26Z
BTC-PERPETUAL

Triton

Substantial returns for buyers willing to carry deeper drawdown.

dual-verifiedTV provisional

Two complementary axes, not a contradiction: the primary badge is internal validation dual-verified · external TradingView cross-check provisional (provisional until reconciled). how we verify →

CAGR
27.3%
Profit factor
2.73
Max drawdown
-40.4%
Net return
594%
Win rate
19.4%
Sharpe
1.05
daily, annualized
Sortino
0.90
daily, annualized
Trades
62
Time underwater
700d
longest
Denomination
BTC
inverse
⚠ Leverage — read before sizing
typical 1.2× · max 5.5×

These signals imply a leveraged position — not a 1:1 deployment. At the stated risk %, the position notional is about 1.2× your deployed capital (typical), and up to 5.5× on a tight-stop trade. You execute on your own venue at your own size — cap your leverage at your discretion.

Equity curve · growth of 1.0 · full backtest · base risk
CAGR
27.3%
MAX DD
-40.2%
NET
594%
Hover the curve for date & cumulative value
1.0×'19'20'21'22'23'24'25'26
per-trade risk 2.5% · base 2.5%

Drag 0.5%–3.0%. The full-history curve, CAGR & drawdown recompute live; the axes rescale with it. Profit factor, Sharpe & Sortino are scale-invariant (unchanged). Documented transform, identical to the API.

Profitable risk range · CAGR > 10%amber ≥ 10% · standout ≥ 15%
RiskCAGRmax-DDPFSharpe
1.0%11.0%-17.7%2.731.05
1.5%16.5%-25.8%2.731.05
2.0%22.0%-33.3%2.731.05
2.5%base27.3%-40.2%2.731.05
3.0%32.5%-46.7%2.731.05
CAGR & drawdown scale with sizing; profit factor & Sharpe are scale-invariant (unchanged). Rows shown only where CAGR > 10%, up to a 3.0% cap. Drawdown shown beside every CAGR.
Pick your sizing

The table lists each 0.5% level where this strategy clears 10% CAGR, up to 3.0%. Use the slider above to dial any value in between — the curve, CAGR and drawdown recompute live.

Drawdown is shown beside every CAGR — you weigh the trade-off.

Monthly returns — the full record
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYear
20180000
2019-15-3513155-220-3-150-2
20209-3-1162-151-121271890
20214740-800-1-28-1-35
20220-62-4008-12-1-6-10-9-33
2023540162-5000040910192
20241215-75-3-3-16819-159
20253-306926-51-80012
2026-50-513-4-13-3242

Monthly & annual returns (%) at base risk — green = up, red = down. Backtested / modelled, provisional — the full record, down months included.

Provenance
Base risk
2.5% per trade
Window
2018-08-14 → 2026-08-24
Engine
Deribit-native BTC-PERPETUAL DRY_RUN backtest (keyless)
Data source
public Deribit chart history
Commission
5 bps / side
Slippage
2 ticks
Parameters
— (null until stamped)
Engine commit
— (null until stamped)

Backtested / modelled historical data, net of the costs above — not advice. → full methodology

Live signals
The data is free — subscribe for the signals

Every stat, return series and the risk-% tool on this page are free, no key — verify Triton against your own book first. The product is the live signals: real-time, actionable trade alerts as it fires. Request-based today.

Subscribe for live signalsContact for access — request-based