Theia

Reliable and well-rounded — dependable returns.

dual-verifiedTV provisional

Two complementary axes, not a contradiction: the primary badge is internal validation dual-verified · external TradingView cross-check provisional (provisional until reconciled). how we verify →

CAGR

30.1%

Profit factor

2.72

Max drawdown

-27.5%

Net return

729%

Win rate

21.8%

Sharpe

1.24

daily, annualized

Sortino

0.90

daily, annualized

Trades

110

Time underwater

575d

longest

Denomination

BTC

inverse

⚠ Leverage — read before sizing

typical 1.5× · max 5.5×

These signals imply a leveraged position — not a 1:1 deployment. At the stated risk %, the position notional is about 1.5× your deployed capital (typical), and up to 5.5× on a tight-stop trade. You execute on your own venue at your own size — cap your leverage at your discretion.

Equity curve · growth of 1.0 · full backtest · base risk

CAGR

30.1%

MAX DD

-26.8%

NET

729%

Hover the curve for date & cumulative value

Evaluate at your risk level

per-trade risk 2.0% · base 2.0%

Drag 0.5%–3.0%. The full-history curve, CAGR & drawdown recompute live; the axes rescale with it. Profit factor, Sharpe & Sortino are scale-invariant (unchanged). Documented transform, identical to the API.

Profitable risk range · CAGR > 10%amber ≥ 10% · standout ≥ 15%

Risk	CAGR	max-DD	PF	Sharpe
1.0%	14.8%	-14.1%	2.72	1.24
1.5%	22.4%	-20.6%	2.72	1.24
2.0%base	30.1%	-26.8%	2.72	1.24
2.5%	37.9%	-32.6%	2.72	1.24
3.0%	45.7%	-38.0%	2.72	1.24

CAGR & drawdown scale with sizing; profit factor & Sharpe are scale-invariant (unchanged). Rows shown only where CAGR > 10%, up to a 3.0% cap. Drawdown shown beside every CAGR.

Pick your sizing

The table lists each 0.5% level where this strategy clears 10% CAGR, up to 3.0%. Use the slider above to dial any value in between — the curve, CAGR and drawdown recompute live.

Drawdown is shown beside every CAGR — you weigh the trade-off.

Monthly returns — the full record

	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec	Year
2018									-2	-4	-5	0
2019	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-4	0	0	0	-4
2020	0	0	0	17	-1	-6	9	-1	-6	49	27	13	138
2021	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
2022	0	0	8	-4	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	-10	-6
2023	23	-4	0	0	-2	14	-8	-8	-1	35	6	6	71
2024	0	19	1	-2	0	0	0	-3	5	9	21	-4	51
2025	-4	-2	-1	10	11	-8	9	-7	-6	-3	0	0	-3
2026	-7	0	-3	10	1	0	1	66					68

Monthly & annual returns (%) at base risk — green = up, red = down. Backtested / modelled, provisional — the full record, down months included.

Provenance

Base risk: 2.0% per trade
Window: 2018-08-14 → 2026-08-24
Engine: Deribit-native BTC-PERPETUAL DRY_RUN backtest (keyless)
Data source: public Deribit chart history
Commission: 5 bps / side
Slippage: 2 ticks
Parameters: — (null until stamped)
Engine commit: — (null until stamped)

Backtested / modelled historical data, net of the costs above — not advice. → full methodology

Live signals

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