Signal strategies: 12 of 14 dual-verified · backtested/modelled · independent forward verification underway

αBTC Alpha
CATALOGUE / selene · dataset 2026-08-24T11:32:26Z
BTC-PERPETUAL

Selene

The calmest diversifier — the shallowest drawdown in the lineup, and highly independent.

engine-backtestedTV provisional

Two complementary axes, not a contradiction: the primary badge is internal validation engine-backtested · external TradingView cross-check provisional (provisional until reconciled). how we verify →

CAGR
9.9%
Profit factor
4.25
Max drawdown
-10.2%
Net return
113%
Win rate
45.8%
Sharpe
1.04
daily, annualized
Sortino
0.75
daily, annualized
Trades
24
Time underwater
477d
longest
Denomination
BTC
inverse
⚠ Leverage — read before sizing
typical 0.49× · max 2.2×

These signals imply a leveraged position — not a 1:1 deployment. At the stated risk %, the position notional is about 0.49× your deployed capital (typical), and up to 2.2× on a tight-stop trade. You execute on your own venue at your own size — cap your leverage at your discretion.

Equity curve · growth of 1.0 · full backtest · base risk
CAGR
9.9%
MAX DD
-10.2%
NET
113%
Hover the curve for date & cumulative value
1.0×'19'20'21'22'23'24'25'26
per-trade risk 2.5% · base 2.5%

Drag 0.5%–3.0%. The full-history curve, CAGR & drawdown recompute live; the axes rescale with it. Profit factor, Sharpe & Sortino are scale-invariant (unchanged). Documented transform, identical to the API.

Profitable risk range · CAGR > 10%amber ≥ 10% · standout ≥ 15%
RiskCAGRmax-DDPFSharpe
3.0%11.8%-12.1%4.251.04
CAGR & drawdown scale with sizing; profit factor & Sharpe are scale-invariant (unchanged). Rows shown only where CAGR > 10%, up to a 3.0% cap. Drawdown shown beside every CAGR.
Pick your sizing

The table lists each 0.5% level where this strategy clears 10% CAGR, up to 3.0%. Use the slider above to dial any value in between — the curve, CAGR and drawdown recompute live.

Drawdown is shown beside every CAGR — you weigh the trade-off.

Monthly returns — the full record
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYear
20180-300
20190000000000-30-3
20205-4000-131-213111140
2021332-10004-515-4017
20220000000000000
202304-20-13-2-1-183316
2024071-1-103-2128-118
20252-2-34412-2-1-2-201
2026000000000

Monthly & annual returns (%) at base risk — green = up, red = down. Backtested / modelled, provisional — the full record, down months included.

Provenance
Base risk
2.5% per trade
Window
2018-08-15 → 2026-08-24
Engine
Deribit-native BTC-PERPETUAL DRY_RUN backtest (keyless)
Data source
public Deribit chart history
Commission
5 bps / side
Slippage
2 ticks
Parameters
— (null until stamped)
Engine commit
— (null until stamped)

Backtested / modelled historical data, net of the costs above — not advice. → full methodology

Live signals
The data is free — subscribe for the signals

Every stat, return series and the risk-% tool on this page are free, no key — verify Selene against your own book first. The product is the live signals: real-time, actionable trade alerts as it fires. Request-based today.

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Included in: Diversifier · Steady