Signal strategies: 12 of 14 dual-verified · backtested/modelled · independent forward verification underway

αBTC Alpha
CATALOGUE / perseus · dataset 2026-08-24T11:32:26Z
BTC-PERPETUAL

Perseus

A decisive, strong all-round return profile.

dual-verifiedTV provisional

Two complementary axes, not a contradiction: the primary badge is internal validation dual-verified · external TradingView cross-check provisional (provisional until reconciled). how we verify →

CAGR
30.4%
Profit factor
2.62
Max drawdown
-28.9%
Net return
742%
Win rate
26.2%
Sharpe
1.15
daily, annualized
Sortino
0.74
daily, annualized
Trades
103
Time underwater
673d
longest
Denomination
BTC
inverse
⚠ Leverage — read before sizing
typical 1.27× · max 5.6×

These signals imply a leveraged position — not a 1:1 deployment. At the stated risk %, the position notional is about 1.27× your deployed capital (typical), and up to 5.6× on a tight-stop trade. You execute on your own venue at your own size — cap your leverage at your discretion.

Equity curve · growth of 1.0 · full backtest · base risk
CAGR
30.4%
MAX DD
-27.3%
NET
742%
Hover the curve for date & cumulative value
1.0×'19'20'21'22'23'24'25'26
per-trade risk 2.5% · base 2.5%

Drag 0.5%–3.0%. The full-history curve, CAGR & drawdown recompute live; the axes rescale with it. Profit factor, Sharpe & Sortino are scale-invariant (unchanged). Documented transform, identical to the API.

Profitable risk range · CAGR > 10%amber ≥ 10% · standout ≥ 15%
RiskCAGRmax-DDPFSharpe
1.0%12.1%-11.5%2.621.15
1.5%18.2%-17.0%2.621.15
2.0%24.3%-22.2%2.621.15
2.5%base30.4%-27.3%2.621.15
3.0%36.5%-32.1%2.621.15
CAGR & drawdown scale with sizing; profit factor & Sharpe are scale-invariant (unchanged). Rows shown only where CAGR > 10%, up to a 3.0% cap. Drawdown shown beside every CAGR.
Pick your sizing

The table lists each 0.5% level where this strategy clears 10% CAGR, up to 3.0%. Use the slider above to dial any value in between — the curve, CAGR and drawdown recompute live.

Drawdown is shown beside every CAGR — you weigh the trade-off.

Monthly returns — the full record
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYear
2018-5-1000
201900-100000-3000-4
20207-5018-10121-91413-157
202102471-50-40-3-3-1-311
2022002-10013-702-2-60
202334-3-20-219-6-3010-236
2024-111911-30-10-2612-20163
2025-1002414-7-1-4-2-30-513
2026-10-2120003041

Monthly & annual returns (%) at base risk — green = up, red = down. Backtested / modelled, provisional — the full record, down months included.

Provenance
Base risk
2.5% per trade
Window
2018-08-14 → 2026-08-24
Engine
Deribit-native BTC-PERPETUAL DRY_RUN backtest (keyless)
Data source
public Deribit chart history
Commission
5 bps / side
Slippage
2 ticks
Parameters
— (null until stamped)
Engine commit
— (null until stamped)

Backtested / modelled historical data, net of the costs above — not advice. → full methodology

Live signals
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Every stat, return series and the risk-% tool on this page are free, no key — verify Perseus against your own book first. The product is the live signals: real-time, actionable trade alerts as it fires. Request-based today.

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