Orion
The most aggressive — the widest profitable risk range, with returns and drawdowns to match.
Two complementary axes, not a contradiction: the primary badge is internal validation dual-verified · external TradingView cross-check provisional (provisional until reconciled). how we verify →
These signals imply a leveraged position — not a 1:1 deployment. At the stated risk %, the position notional is about 1.09× your deployed capital (typical), and up to 10.9× on a tight-stop trade. You execute on your own venue at your own size — cap your leverage at your discretion.
Drag 0.5%–3.0%. The full-history curve, CAGR & drawdown recompute live; the axes rescale with it. Profit factor, Sharpe & Sortino are scale-invariant (unchanged). Documented transform, identical to the API.
| Risk | CAGR | max-DD | PF | Sharpe |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5% | 14.8% | -18.8% | 1.76 | 0.97 |
| 1.0%base | 28.9% | -34.7% | 1.76 | 0.97 |
| 1.5% | 41.8% | -48.3% | 1.76 | 0.97 |
| 2.0% | 53.1% | -59.7% | 1.76 | 0.97 |
| 2.5% | 62.2% | -69.0% | 1.76 | 0.97 |
| 3.0% | 68.7% | -76.6% | 1.76 | 0.97 |
The table lists each 0.5% level where this strategy clears 10% CAGR, up to 3.0%. Use the slider above to dial any value in between — the curve, CAGR and drawdown recompute live.
Drawdown is shown beside every CAGR — you weigh the trade-off.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | -13 | -7 | -7 | -3 | |||||||||
| 2019 | -6 | -1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 26 | -9 | -2 | -3 | -1 | -2 | 0 | 12 |
| 2020 | 13 | -1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 19 | 2 | -9 | 36 | 28 | 18 | 166 |
| 2021 | 3 | 19 | 11 | -3 | -6 | -1 | 0 | 0 | -4 | -2 | -2 | 0 | 13 |
| 2022 | 0 | -2 | 3 | -3 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -8 | 0 | -3 | -1 | -5 | -19 |
| 2023 | 207 | -14 | 2 | -1 | -3 | -1 | -2 | 0 | -4 | -4 | 11 | 14 | 191 |
| 2024 | 1 | 26 | 7 | -5 | 2 | -1 | 2 | -6 | -1 | 9 | 20 | -1 | 62 |
| 2025 | -1 | -2 | -3 | 11 | 9 | -7 | 9 | -5 | -5 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026 | -6 | 0 | -7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | -15 | -4 | -23 |
Monthly & annual returns (%) at base risk — green = up, red = down. Backtested / modelled, provisional — the full record, down months included.
- Base risk
- 1.0% per trade
- Window
- 2018-08-14 → 2026-08-23
- Engine
- Deribit-native BTC-PERPETUAL DRY_RUN backtest (keyless)
- Data source
- public Deribit chart history
- Commission
- 5 bps / side
- Slippage
- 2 ticks
- Parameters
- — (null until stamped)
- Engine commit
- — (null until stamped)
Backtested / modelled historical data, net of the costs above — not advice. → full methodology
Every stat, return series and the risk-% tool on this page are free, no key — verify Orion against your own book first. The product is the live signals: real-time, actionable trade alerts as it fires. Request-based today.
Subscribe for live signalsContact for access — request-basedIncluded in: Flagship