Signal strategies: 12 of 14 dual-verified · backtested/modelled · independent forward verification underway

αBTC Alpha
CATALOGUE / hyperion · dataset 2026-07-19T08:19:46Z
BTC-PERPETUAL

Hyperion

Strong returns at unusually shallow drawdown — among the most efficient in the set.

dual-verifiedTV provisional

Two complementary axes, not a contradiction: the primary badge is internal validation dual-verified · external TradingView cross-check provisional (provisional until reconciled). how we verify →

CAGR
30.9%
Profit factor
3.21
Max drawdown
-22.8%
Net return
747%
Win rate
23.3%
Sharpe
1.29
daily, annualized
Sortino
1.04
daily, annualized
Trades
73
Time underwater
637d
longest
Denomination
BTC
inverse
⚠ Leverage — read before sizing
typical 0.77× · max 2.7×

These signals imply a leveraged position — not a 1:1 deployment. At the stated risk %, the position notional is about 0.77× your deployed capital (typical), and up to 2.7× on a tight-stop trade. You execute on your own venue at your own size — cap your leverage at your discretion.

Equity curve · growth of 1.0 · full backtest · base risk
CAGR
30.9%
MAX DD
-22.8%
NET
747%
Hover the curve for date & cumulative value
1.0×2×5×10×'19'20'21'22'23'24'25'26
per-trade risk 1.5% · base 1.5%

Drag 0.5%–3.0%. The full-history curve, CAGR & drawdown recompute live; the axes rescale with it. Profit factor, Sharpe & Sortino are scale-invariant (unchanged). Documented transform, identical to the API.

Profitable risk range · CAGR > 10%amber ≥ 10% · standout ≥ 15%
RiskCAGRmax-DDPFSharpe
0.5%10.0%-7.8%3.211.29
1.0%20.4%-15.5%3.211.29
1.5%base30.9%-22.8%3.211.29
2.0%41.7%-29.8%3.211.29
2.5%52.4%-36.5%3.211.29
3.0%63.1%-42.7%3.211.29
CAGR & drawdown scale with sizing; profit factor & Sharpe are scale-invariant (unchanged). Rows shown only where CAGR > 10%, up to a 3.0% cap. Drawdown shown beside every CAGR.
Pick your sizing

The table lists each 0.5% level where this strategy clears 10% CAGR, up to 3.0%. Use the slider above to dial any value in between — the curve, CAGR and drawdown recompute live.

Drawdown is shown beside every CAGR — you weigh the trade-off.

Monthly returns — the full record
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYear
2018-11-300
201904515186-2-20-2-8037
202012-3083-1193-10710764
20212320-300-2-36-103
20220-31-400-3-500-1-2-16
202360021-2-2-5002467115
2024-27513-101-22-9-1719-2101
20251-30109-25-2-5-3009
2026-30-25-200-2

Monthly & annual returns (%) at base risk — green = up, red = down. Backtested / modelled, provisional — the full record, down months included.

Provenance
Base risk
1.5% per trade
Window
2018-08-14 → 2026-07-19
Engine
Deribit-native BTC-PERPETUAL DRY_RUN backtest (keyless)
Data source
public Deribit chart history
Commission
5 bps / side
Slippage
2 ticks
Parameters
— (null until stamped)
Engine commit
— (null until stamped)

Backtested / modelled historical data, net of the costs above — not advice. → full methodology

Live signals
The data is free — subscribe for the signals

Every stat, return series and the risk-% tool on this page are free, no key — verify Hyperion against your own book first. The product is the live signals: real-time, actionable trade alerts as it fires. Request-based today.

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Included in: Flagship · Steady