Signal strategies: 12 of 14 dual-verified · backtested/modelled · independent forward verification underway

αBTC Alpha
CATALOGUE / helios · dataset 2026-08-23T11:32:43Z
BTC-PERPETUAL

Helios

The flagship — the highest backtested return in the lineup, and one of its most independent.

dual-verifiedTV provisional

Two complementary axes, not a contradiction: the primary badge is internal validation dual-verified · external TradingView cross-check provisional (provisional until reconciled). how we verify →

CAGR
52.2%
Profit factor
2.57
Max drawdown
-33.3%
Net return
2,805%
Win rate
37.8%
Sharpe
1.21
daily, annualized
Sortino
1.09
daily, annualized
Trades
249
Time underwater
1,261d
longest
Denomination
BTC
inverse
⚠ Leverage — read before sizing
typical 1.61× · max 11.4×

These signals imply a leveraged position — not a 1:1 deployment. At the stated risk %, the position notional is about 1.61× your deployed capital (typical), and up to 11.4× on a tight-stop trade. You execute on your own venue at your own size — cap your leverage at your discretion.

Equity curve · growth of 1.0 · full backtest · base risk
CAGR
52.2%
MAX DD
-32.8%
NET
2,805%
Hover the curve for date & cumulative value
1.0×10×20×'19'20'21'22'23'24'25'26
per-trade risk 2.5% · base 2.5%

Drag 0.5%–3.0%. The full-history curve, CAGR & drawdown recompute live; the axes rescale with it. Profit factor, Sharpe & Sortino are scale-invariant (unchanged). Documented transform, identical to the API.

Profitable risk range · CAGR > 10%amber ≥ 10% · standout ≥ 15%
RiskCAGRmax-DDPFSharpe
0.5%10.1%-7.5%2.571.21
1.0%20.4%-14.4%2.571.21
1.5%30.9%-21.0%2.571.21
2.0%41.6%-27.1%2.571.21
2.5%base52.2%-32.8%2.571.21
3.0%62.8%-38.1%2.571.21
CAGR & drawdown scale with sizing; profit factor & Sharpe are scale-invariant (unchanged). Rows shown only where CAGR > 10%, up to a 3.0% cap. Drawdown shown beside every CAGR.
Pick your sizing

The table lists each 0.5% level where this strategy clears 10% CAGR, up to 3.0%. Use the slider above to dial any value in between — the curve, CAGR and drawdown recompute live.

Drawdown is shown beside every CAGR — you weigh the trade-off.

Monthly returns — the full record
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYear
2018-10-2411
2019-813-3-30002270-6-216
2020-3-37-40-4-11-1-51400-11
2021000-1-4000-103-1-4
202200-3100124-10-9-6
202333016-1-92913842900228
2024111201-3102-19150068
2025-2302112-47-5-31328-971
2026221123-559-320150

Monthly & annual returns (%) at base risk — green = up, red = down. Backtested / modelled, provisional — the full record, down months included.

Provenance
Base risk
2.5% per trade
Window
2018-08-14 → 2026-08-23
Engine
Deribit-native BTC-PERPETUAL DRY_RUN backtest (keyless)
Data source
public Deribit chart history
Commission
5 bps / side
Slippage
2 ticks
Parameters
— (null until stamped)
Engine commit
— (null until stamped)

Backtested / modelled historical data, net of the costs above — not advice. → full methodology

Live signals
The data is free — subscribe for the signals

Every stat, return series and the risk-% tool on this page are free, no key — verify Helios against your own book first. The product is the live signals: real-time, actionable trade alerts as it fires. Request-based today.

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Included in: Diversifier · Flagship