Signal strategies: 12 of 14 dual-verified · backtested/modelled · independent forward verification underway

αBTC Alpha
CATALOGUE / boreas · dataset 2026-07-19T08:19:46Z
BTC-PERPETUAL

Boreas

Genuinely independent — among the lowest-correlation streams in the set.

dual-verifiedTV provisional

Two complementary axes, not a contradiction: the primary badge is internal validation dual-verified · external TradingView cross-check provisional (provisional until reconciled). how we verify →

CAGR
11.7%
Profit factor
1.27
Max drawdown
-32.4%
Net return
140%
Win rate
20.3%
Sharpe
0.60
daily, annualized
Sortino
0.44
daily, annualized
Trades
360
Time underwater
761d
longest
Denomination
BTC
inverse
⚠ Leverage — read before sizing
typical 0.99× · max 14.8×

These signals imply a leveraged position — not a 1:1 deployment. At the stated risk %, the position notional is about 0.99× your deployed capital (typical), and up to 14.8× on a tight-stop trade. You execute on your own venue at your own size — cap your leverage at your discretion.

Equity curve · growth of 1.0 · full backtest · base risk
CAGR
11.7%
MAX DD
-31.6%
NET
140%
Hover the curve for date & cumulative value
1.0×2×'19'20'21'22'23'24'25'26
per-trade risk 1.0% · base 1.0%

Drag 0.5%–3.0%. The full-history curve, CAGR & drawdown recompute live; the axes rescale with it. Profit factor, Sharpe & Sortino are scale-invariant (unchanged). Documented transform, identical to the API.

Profitable risk range · CAGR > 10%amber ≥ 10% · standout ≥ 15%
RiskCAGRmax-DDPFSharpe
1.0%base11.7%-31.6%1.270.60
1.5%15.9%-44.4%1.270.60
2.0%18.8%-55.4%1.270.60
2.5%20.3%-64.6%1.270.60
3.0%20.4%-72.3%1.270.60
CAGR & drawdown scale with sizing; profit factor & Sharpe are scale-invariant (unchanged). Rows shown only where CAGR > 10%, up to a 3.0% cap. Drawdown shown beside every CAGR.
Pick your sizing

The table lists each 0.5% level where this strategy clears 10% CAGR, up to 3.0%. Use the slider above to dial any value in between — the curve, CAGR and drawdown recompute live.

Drawdown is shown beside every CAGR — you weigh the trade-off.

Monthly returns — the full record
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYear
2018-6-1200
20190-1-81542409-2-1-1-376
2020110-3760-11-1-6-673234
2021212110-5-212-7-6-2-5-35
2022000-41-47-4-21-11-6
202330-104-5-2-2-7-120419
2024-1112-4-6-20-21166122
2025-1-1-2-50-36-100-1-4-12
2026-40-2140-3-3

Monthly & annual returns (%) at base risk — green = up, red = down. Backtested / modelled, provisional — the full record, down months included.

Provenance
Base risk
1.0% per trade
Window
2018-08-14 → 2026-07-19
Engine
Deribit-native BTC-PERPETUAL DRY_RUN backtest (keyless)
Data source
public Deribit chart history
Commission
5 bps / side
Slippage
2 ticks
Parameters
— (null until stamped)
Engine commit
— (null until stamped)

Backtested / modelled historical data, net of the costs above — not advice. → full methodology

Live signals
The data is free — subscribe for the signals

Every stat, return series and the risk-% tool on this page are free, no key — verify Boreas against your own book first. The product is the live signals: real-time, actionable trade alerts as it fires. Request-based today.

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Included in: Diversifier