Signal strategies: 12 of 14 dual-verified · backtested/modelled · independent forward verification underway

αBTC Alpha
CATALOGUE / atlas · dataset 2026-08-24T11:32:26Z
BTC-PERPETUAL

Atlas

Durable and consistent — steady returns across the risk range.

dual-verifiedTV provisional

Two complementary axes, not a contradiction: the primary badge is internal validation dual-verified · external TradingView cross-check provisional (provisional until reconciled). how we verify →

CAGR
23.9%
Profit factor
2.21
Max drawdown
-28.7%
Net return
458%
Win rate
29.7%
Sharpe
1.11
daily, annualized
Sortino
0.82
daily, annualized
Trades
64
Time underwater
640d
longest
Denomination
BTC
inverse
⚠ Leverage — read before sizing
typical 0.77× · max 3×

These signals imply a leveraged position — not a 1:1 deployment. At the stated risk %, the position notional is about 0.77× your deployed capital (typical), and up to 3× on a tight-stop trade. You execute on your own venue at your own size — cap your leverage at your discretion.

Equity curve · growth of 1.0 · full backtest · base risk
CAGR
23.9%
MAX DD
-28.6%
NET
458%
Hover the curve for date & cumulative value
1.0×'19'20'21'22'23'24'25'26
per-trade risk 2.5% · base 2.5%

Drag 0.5%–3.0%. The full-history curve, CAGR & drawdown recompute live; the axes rescale with it. Profit factor, Sharpe & Sortino are scale-invariant (unchanged). Documented transform, identical to the API.

Profitable risk range · CAGR > 10%amber ≥ 10% · standout ≥ 15%
RiskCAGRmax-DDPFSharpe
1.5%14.3%-18.1%2.211.11
2.0%19.1%-23.5%2.211.11
2.5%base23.9%-28.6%2.211.11
3.0%28.6%-33.4%2.211.11
CAGR & drawdown scale with sizing; profit factor & Sharpe are scale-invariant (unchanged). Rows shown only where CAGR > 10%, up to a 3.0% cap. Drawdown shown beside every CAGR.
Pick your sizing

The table lists each 0.5% level where this strategy clears 10% CAGR, up to 3.0%. Use the slider above to dial any value in between — the curve, CAGR and drawdown recompute live.

Drawdown is shown beside every CAGR — you weigh the trade-off.

Monthly returns — the full record
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYear
2018-8-400
20190-3310124-10-20-7016
202010-2093-1193-9161913106
2021353-1-5000-30-50-3
20220-31-600-3-300-2-3-17
2023540-36-50-3002267102
2024-14810-91-32-60518-165
20250-40119-55-2-50008
2026-30-15-20-9-5-15

Monthly & annual returns (%) at base risk — green = up, red = down. Backtested / modelled, provisional — the full record, down months included.

Provenance
Base risk
2.5% per trade
Window
2018-08-14 → 2026-08-24
Engine
Deribit-native BTC-PERPETUAL DRY_RUN backtest (keyless)
Data source
public Deribit chart history
Commission
5 bps / side
Slippage
2 ticks
Parameters
— (null until stamped)
Engine commit
— (null until stamped)

Backtested / modelled historical data, net of the costs above — not advice. → full methodology

Live signals
The data is free — subscribe for the signals

Every stat, return series and the risk-% tool on this page are free, no key — verify Atlas against your own book first. The product is the live signals: real-time, actionable trade alerts as it fires. Request-based today.

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Included in: Flagship · Steady