Signal strategies: 12 of 14 dual-verified · backtested/modelled · independent forward verification underway

αBTC Alpha
CATALOGUE / apollo · dataset 2026-08-24T11:32:26Z
BTC-PERPETUAL

Apollo

An exceptional profit factor — high-quality, efficient returns.

engine-backtestedTV provisional

Two complementary axes, not a contradiction: the primary badge is internal validation engine-backtested · external TradingView cross-check provisional (provisional until reconciled). how we verify →

CAGR
12.8%
Profit factor
5.48
Max drawdown
-20.3%
Net return
163%
Win rate
23.1%
Sharpe
0.91
daily, annualized
Sortino
0.77
daily, annualized
Trades
13
Time underwater
696d
longest
Denomination
BTC
inverse
⚠ Leverage — read before sizing
typical 1.04× · max 3.1×

These signals imply a leveraged position — not a 1:1 deployment. At the stated risk %, the position notional is about 1.04× your deployed capital (typical), and up to 3.1× on a tight-stop trade. You execute on your own venue at your own size — cap your leverage at your discretion.

Equity curve · growth of 1.0 · full backtest · base risk
CAGR
12.8%
MAX DD
-20.3%
NET
163%
Hover the curve for date & cumulative value
1.0×'19'20'21'22'23'24'25'26
per-trade risk 2.5% · base 2.5%

Drag 0.5%–3.0%. The full-history curve, CAGR & drawdown recompute live; the axes rescale with it. Profit factor, Sharpe & Sortino are scale-invariant (unchanged). Documented transform, identical to the API.

Profitable risk range · CAGR > 10%amber ≥ 10% · standout ≥ 15%
RiskCAGRmax-DDPFSharpe
2.0%10.3%-16.4%5.480.91
2.5%base12.8%-20.3%5.480.91
3.0%15.3%-24.0%5.480.91
CAGR & drawdown scale with sizing; profit factor & Sharpe are scale-invariant (unchanged). Rows shown only where CAGR > 10%, up to a 3.0% cap. Drawdown shown beside every CAGR.
Pick your sizing

The table lists each 0.5% level where this strategy clears 10% CAGR, up to 3.0%. Use the slider above to dial any value in between — the curve, CAGR and drawdown recompute live.

Drawdown is shown beside every CAGR — you weigh the trade-off.

Monthly returns — the full record
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYear
20180000
20190000179-3-1-54-1020
202000000-10132-41210831
20212320-4-12100006
20220000000000000
20230-7252-57-2-62144438
2024193-33-21-2225018
20251-202101-110-2-1-1
2026-20000000-1

Monthly & annual returns (%) at base risk — green = up, red = down. Backtested / modelled, provisional — the full record, down months included.

Provenance
Base risk
2.5% per trade
Window
2018-08-14 → 2026-08-24
Engine
Deribit-native BTC-PERPETUAL DRY_RUN backtest (keyless)
Data source
public Deribit chart history
Commission
5 bps / side
Slippage
2 ticks
Parameters
— (null until stamped)
Engine commit
— (null until stamped)

Backtested / modelled historical data, net of the costs above — not advice. → full methodology

Live signals
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Every stat, return series and the risk-% tool on this page are free, no key — verify Apollo against your own book first. The product is the live signals: real-time, actionable trade alerts as it fires. Request-based today.

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Included in: Steady