Signal strategies: 12 of 14 dual-verified · backtested/modelled · independent forward verification underway

αBTC Alpha
CATALOGUE / kronos · dataset 2026-08-24T11:32:26Z
BTC-PERPETUAL

Kronos

The highest profit factor in the set — quality that rewards a little more sizing.

dual-verifiedTV provisional

Two complementary axes, not a contradiction: the primary badge is internal validation dual-verified · external TradingView cross-check provisional (provisional until reconciled). how we verify →

CAGR
8.4%
Profit factor
5.51
Max drawdown
-17.0%
Net return
91%
Win rate
23.1%
Sharpe
0.84
daily, annualized
Sortino
0.68
daily, annualized
Trades
13
Time underwater
807d
longest
Denomination
BTC
inverse
⚠ Leverage — read before sizing
typical 0.44× · max 1×

These signals imply a leveraged position — not a 1:1 deployment. At the stated risk %, the position notional is about 0.44× your deployed capital (typical), and up to 1× on a tight-stop trade. You execute on your own venue at your own size — cap your leverage at your discretion.

Equity curve · growth of 1.0 · full backtest · base risk
CAGR
8.4%
MAX DD
-16.9%
NET
91%
Hover the curve for date & cumulative value
1.0×'19'20'21'22'23'24'25'26
per-trade risk 2.0% · base 2.0%

Drag 0.5%–3.0%. The full-history curve, CAGR & drawdown recompute live; the axes rescale with it. Profit factor, Sharpe & Sortino are scale-invariant (unchanged). Documented transform, identical to the API.

Profitable risk range · CAGR > 10%amber ≥ 10% · standout ≥ 15%
RiskCAGRmax-DDPFSharpe
2.5%10.4%-20.8%5.510.84
3.0%12.4%-24.6%5.510.84
CAGR & drawdown scale with sizing; profit factor & Sharpe are scale-invariant (unchanged). Rows shown only where CAGR > 10%, up to a 3.0% cap. Drawdown shown beside every CAGR.
Pick your sizing

The table lists each 0.5% level where this strategy clears 10% CAGR, up to 3.0%. Use the slider above to dial any value in between — the curve, CAGR and drawdown recompute live.

Drawdown is shown beside every CAGR — you weigh the trade-off.

Monthly returns — the full record
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYear
2018-2-2-30
20190000000015-90-4
20200-1-400081-377521
20211210-3-10006-1-42
2022-200000000000-2
20230091-24-1-30175639
20241123-43-21-3226023
20251-302201-11-1-30-1
2026000000000

Monthly & annual returns (%) at base risk — green = up, red = down. Backtested / modelled, provisional — the full record, down months included.

Provenance
Base risk
2.0% per trade
Window
2018-08-14 → 2026-08-24
Engine
Deribit-native BTC-PERPETUAL DRY_RUN backtest (keyless)
Data source
public Deribit chart history
Commission
5 bps / side
Slippage
2 ticks
Parameters
— (null until stamped)
Engine commit
— (null until stamped)

Backtested / modelled historical data, net of the costs above — not advice. → full methodology

Live signals
The data is free — subscribe for the signals

Every stat, return series and the risk-% tool on this page are free, no key — verify Kronos against your own book first. The product is the live signals: real-time, actionable trade alerts as it fires. Request-based today.

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Included in: Diversifier · Steady