Signal strategies: 12 of 14 dual-verified · backtested/modelled · independent forward verification underway

αBTC Alpha
CATALOGUE / athena · dataset 2026-08-23T11:32:43Z
BTC-PERPETUAL

Athena

The most risk-adjusted in the set — the strongest return per unit of risk.

dual-verifiedTV provisional

Two complementary axes, not a contradiction: the primary badge is internal validation dual-verified · external TradingView cross-check provisional (provisional until reconciled). how we verify →

CAGR
38.3%
Profit factor
3.24
Max drawdown
-31.0%
Net return
1,250%
Win rate
35.6%
Sharpe
1.43
daily, annualized
Sortino
1.03
daily, annualized
Trades
135
Time underwater
741d
longest
Denomination
BTC
inverse
⚠ Leverage — read before sizing
typical 0.92× · max 7.5×

These signals imply a leveraged position — not a 1:1 deployment. At the stated risk %, the position notional is about 0.92× your deployed capital (typical), and up to 7.5× on a tight-stop trade. You execute on your own venue at your own size — cap your leverage at your discretion.

Equity curve · growth of 1.0 · full backtest · base risk
CAGR
38.3%
MAX DD
-30.6%
NET
1,250%
Hover the curve for date & cumulative value
1.0×10×'19'20'21'22'23'24'25'26
per-trade risk 2.0% · base 2.0%

Drag 0.5%–3.0%. The full-history curve, CAGR & drawdown recompute live; the axes rescale with it. Profit factor, Sharpe & Sortino are scale-invariant (unchanged). Documented transform, identical to the API.

Profitable risk range · CAGR > 10%amber ≥ 10% · standout ≥ 15%
RiskCAGRmax-DDPFSharpe
1.0%18.5%-16.4%3.241.43
1.5%28.3%-23.8%3.241.43
2.0%base38.3%-30.6%3.241.43
2.5%48.7%-37.1%3.241.43
3.0%59.2%-43.0%3.241.43
CAGR & drawdown scale with sizing; profit factor & Sharpe are scale-invariant (unchanged). Rows shown only where CAGR > 10%, up to a 3.0% cap. Drawdown shown beside every CAGR.
Pick your sizing

The table lists each 0.5% level where this strategy clears 10% CAGR, up to 3.0%. Use the slider above to dial any value in between — the curve, CAGR and drawdown recompute live.

Drawdown is shown beside every CAGR — you weigh the trade-off.

Monthly returns — the full record
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYear
2018-1-8-20
201968-420003-2-400-225
20201-40161-2396-4121234165
2021100-2-5-4000-2-2-3-2-12
202200-502-37-30-50-1-8
202349-1-2-1-211-2-2012-150
2024-410110-3-230-25-1230160
20250001311-36-3-100-123
2026-401010-11614

Monthly & annual returns (%) at base risk — green = up, red = down. Backtested / modelled, provisional — the full record, down months included.

Provenance
Base risk
2.0% per trade
Window
2018-08-14 → 2026-08-23
Engine
Deribit-native BTC-PERPETUAL DRY_RUN backtest (keyless)
Data source
public Deribit chart history
Commission
5 bps / side
Slippage
2 ticks
Parameters
— (null until stamped)
Engine commit
— (null until stamped)

Backtested / modelled historical data, net of the costs above — not advice. → full methodology

Live signals
The data is free — subscribe for the signals

Every stat, return series and the risk-% tool on this page are free, no key — verify Athena against your own book first. The product is the live signals: real-time, actionable trade alerts as it fires. Request-based today.

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Included in: Flagship